Odds To Win The 2016 NL Cy Young In The MLB: Best And Worst Bets
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The Dodgers chucker still fanned over 300 batters (301) for the 1st time in over a decade, was 16 – 7 – while leading the League in CG/SHO/IP/SO/SO per 9 IP – with still fashioning a ridiculous WHIP of 0.881.
Kershaw finished 3rd in the races, and now has 5 straight campaigns of top 3 finishes. His +125 odd to win again is about par for the course per this odd, however – just like the American League, I am going to go for the value play more on this list than the favorite.
Last year’s winner (Arrieta) is next on the faves with a mark of +400. I absolutely hate this odd, and for one – think it will be an impossible feat to do what he did all over again. Based on the Cubs offense he won’t need to either.
I see Arrieta still putting forth a great season, with a top 15 Cy Young Vote, but have to call his odd of +400 value the 2nd worst on the board.
4 Horsemen Maneuver
I love the Mets Starting Staff – however because they have 4 guys who could act as aces on other clubs, each one of them will draw votes away from another, and I also foresee Innings issues. Add in a World Series visit to compile year over year frames, and I am steering clear of all New York throwers for this Award.
This is not in any way to demean what Matt Harvey. Jacob deGrom and Noah Syndergaard will do in 2016 – as I believe the Mets are still poised to win the NL East. I just think other #1’s in the league are all going to carry more of a workload.
My idea to take the same amount of money – and bet each of Max Scherzer, Zack Greinke, Madison Bumgarner and Stephen Strasburg to win this Award. It is almost like Kershaw vs the rest of the field – minus the Mets and the Cubs here.
Greinke had an incredible 2015 campaign – and has run with the move out west since his days with the Brewers and Royals. The AL 2009 winner has unbelievable command, and with his move to Arizona, he could really make his mark with the team. At +1600 and tied for 7th in the NL Ranking, it is a great wager.
Scherzer was pretty much as dominant like Arrieta and Greinke were – say for about 10 starts in the July to August area. The man threw 2 no hitters and took two other games past the 7th inning.
The former Tigers and D’Backs Starter asserted himself as a workhorse in 2015 – lugging a career high in IP (228.2). The former 2013 AL Cy Young Award winner is 53 – 20 with a sub 3.00 ERA since the start of 2013.
Scherzer featured career bests in WHIP (0.918) and BB per 9 IP (1.3), SO (276) – and ERA at 2.79. His numbers all trended better in the Senior Circuit. I will go on a limb and say this guy actually wins the NL Cy Young Award this year.
Stephen Strasburg had a brutal start to the 2015 season – that was marred by injury, but he is in a contract year – and I fully expect to see his best work ever as a Pitcher. The former #1 overall pick had an ERA of
With Greinke now in Arizona, I think the Scherzer/Strasburg 1 – 2 combination will be the best duo in the Majors this campaign.
Madison Bumgarner is the best playoff pitcher in the last 25 years, and maybe part of that success should be attributed to Bruce Bochy leaving some bullets in the chamber after the regular season has ended.
The Giants remarkably consistent Relief Core is coming back yet once again – however I think Mad Bum may find himself logging more Innings this coming season.
With as many as 7 teams for the upper clubs in the NL, I don’t believe any squad will have the luxury of resting any of its aces in August and September.
One of the years Bumgarner may put forth one of his playoff type of runs in Sept/Oct – that would nail down a playoff spot for the San Fran organization. At +1400, I would take that total all day with the moxy this guy has.
Jose Fernandez is listed to high as a favorite – for a pitcher that may be capped at between 180 – 200 IP. That will not get it done versus the rest of the field here, and I am going to have to call it the 2nd worst odd to Arrieta’s number.
Jon Lester sitting at +2500, with an inflamed elbow, and mid 3 ERA will not win a Cy Young. I love the guy. Chicago needs him for the playoffs, but I think he will also not worry about personal statistics – and therefore be carrying a ton of big leads versus the opponents this year.
I would not be surprised if Lester or Arrieta lead the Majors in Pitching wins this season – and especially with that offense.
Adam Wainwright throwing for a full season, coupled with his disdain for being dropped in fantasy rankings, may be enough incentive for the two-time runner up, and 2 other 3rd place finishes put forth in his last 5 full years toeing the bump – to win his 1st Award.
ODDS TO WIN THE NL CY YOUNG
Best Bets Odds Value = Blue Bold
Worst Bets Odds Value = Red Bold
Clayton Kershaw. LAD +125
Jake Arrieta, CHC +400 (2)
Matt Harvey, NYM +1000 (5)
Max Scherzer, WSH +1400 (1)
Madison Bumgarner, SF +1400 (4)
Jose Fernandez, MIA +1400 (1)
Adam Wainwright, STL +1600 (5)
Zack Greinke, ARI +1600 (2)
Jacob deGrom, NYM +1600
Stephen Strasburg, WSH +1600 (3)
Jon Lester, CHC +2500 (4)
Noah Syndergaard, NYM +2500 (3)
Gerrit Cole, PIT +2500
Johnny Cueto, SF +5000
Michael Wacha, STL +5000
*** The views and opinions expressed in this report are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of bbba.work and their other members***
A big thanks goes out to our featured writer Hunter Stokes for preparing today’s post.
Posted on March 22, 2016, in Gambling 101, MLB Reports and tagged 2016 NL CY Young Award Contender, 2016 NL CY Young Award Contenders, adam wainwright, chicago cubs, clayton kershaw, gerrit cole, Jacob DeGrom, Jake arrieta, johnny cueto, jon lester, jose fernandez, madison bumgarner, matt harvey, michael wacha, new york mets, NL east, Noah Syndergaard, stephen strasburg, washington nationals, zack greinke. Bookmark the permalink. Leave a comment.