Odds To Win The MLB Divisions In 2016: Best Value Bets

Should win between 82 - 85 games in my view - and is one the best odds on the board for this wagering.

Should win between 82 – 85 games in my view – and is the best odds on the board for this wagering in any category this week.  Picking them to win the AL East for a +1200 is full value.

Hunter Stokes (BBBA Featured Writer) 

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ODDS courtesy of bet365.com

Bad Value – Red Block

Good Value – Blue Block

AL East

As stated in an article this week, I am loving the value of the O’s across the board.  Picking them to win the Division at +1200 should be ranked 1st, to win the American League Pennant at +2800 is 2nd – and to win the World Series at +5000 is third.

Since Baltimore would have a tough NL matchup for the Fall Classic, the best cash should be thrown on the AL East win, then to win the Pennant.

Boston and Toronto are both listed at 87.5 regular season win odds – whereas the Jays are favored to win over that amount just slightly ahead of the Sox.  Here they are evenly slated.

David Price is a regular season beast, and Craig Kimbrel solidifies the Bullpen, but I just can’t put money behind them winning this Division.

It was a good job by BET365 handicapping this Division

Boston Red Sox +175 (6)

Toronto Blue Jays +175

NY Yankees +350

TB Rays +800

Baltimore Orioles +1200 (1)

Royals are a good bet here but they have better value in picking over 84.5 wins at this betting site, as oppose to betting this number.

Royals are a good bet here but they have better value in picking over 84.5 wins at this betting site, as oppose to betting this number.

AL Central

Speaking again on the over and under for win totals.  bet365.com here has the Royals at 84.5 wins and the Indians favored higher at 85.5 wins.  So how come they have KC as the better odd in here then?

I still feel that the reigning champs are solid – and that +170 play is a good one.  However, all of your cabbage should be wagered on the team winning over 84.5 wins as opposed to betting this here.

Take that bet all day long, and you never have to worry about the Division at all.

KC Royals +170

Cleveland Indians +190

Detroit Tigers +375 (4)

Chicago White Sox +650 (6)

Minnesota Twins +1100

The Mariners and Angels will need to bolster their clubs via Free Agency over the next few winters to compete with the amount of young talent the Houston Astros currently possesses. The M's could do well to add 2 Starting Pitchers to the fold this winter - to go along with Felix Hernandez. That is why we predicted them to re-sign Iwakuma and bring in Jeff Samardzija.

AL West

This Division is also marked correctly.  Seattle has the capability to put forth a great upgrade on the 2015 team.  I still hate the fact they never landed a SS instead of Ketel Marte, yet they might not need his offense.

I believe a healthy Robinson Cano will have his best year as a Mariner, and could be in the AL MVP Vote by years end.  Taijuan Walker and James Paxton have got to stay healthy.

Houston should win the most games in the American League however, with a ton of swing and miss type of guys in their lineup, they could prove to streak the wrong way at the wrong time.

Keep in mind we are going for value here.  Seattle adding a consistent Adam Lind to a roster of hitters like Cano, Kyle Seager and Nelson Cruz has to help immensely.  Chris Iannetta just showing up at the ballpark will almost double the inept production produced by Mike Zunino and Jesus Sucre last year.

I hope that Franklin Gutierrez can stay healthy.  This guy has crushed 25 HRs and 59 RBI in his last 316 AB.  The problem is that this represents all of the ABs he has had from 2013 – 2015.

The Angels are not receiving great news from their rotation this spring with Jered Weaver topping out at 80 MPH on his fastball, and C.J. Wilson being hurt.  Good luck getting out of the gate in 2016 Halo’s.

Houston Astros +140

Texas Rangers +275

Seattle Mariners +340 (6)

LA Angels +475 (4)

Oakland A’s +1500

The Mets made it to the World Series in 2015 after a subpar start heading into the Trade Deadline. With a ton of pitching and some decent positional players still on the roster, they could set themselves up for a lengthy run in the NL East. Especially if they can coordinate a couple of trades (Pitching for hitters).

NL East

The Mets are still a decent odd at near even odds to win the NL East.  Washington should give them a run for their money all year, but I favor the depth on the staff to New York.

Miami at +650 is just not worth picking up a bet.  Whoever wins this Division will have to win 90+ games and I just don’t see this with the “Fish” this campaign.  They may have the best offense in the Division, but beyond Jose Fernandez and Wei-Yin Chen, the rotation thins out too quickly.

NY Mets -110 (5)

Washington Nationals +115

Miami Marlins +650 (2)

Atlanta Braves +5500

Philadelphia +12500

The Cardinals, Cubs and Pirates will all beat each other up in 2016, and this will make any of the wagers they have on their current odds not smart bets. Put your cabbage on someone else.

NL Central

The Cards are having some injury trouble, but then again, they faced a similar fate in 2015 – and won 100 games.

Pittsburgh is also a decent play at +400.  People are not giving the brass enough credit for reshaping their depth.  I hated their early winter moves of trading Neil Walker, while non-tendering Pedro Alvarez, but I love the last few transactions they have done to replace them.

John Jaso and David Freese will not make as much as Alvarez would have received through Arbitration, and will give them solid production.  Jaso is a high OBP guy, while Freese should smack them 15 HRs, and shore up the Infield until Jung Ho Kang comes back.

Pittsburgh has done enough to ensure the club will be competitive enough again in 2016.

Chicago Cubs -210

St. Louis Cards +325 (3)

Pittsburgh Pirates +400 (7)

Milwaukee Brewers +5000

Cincinnati Reds +6600 (5)

It is now time to bet the Giants - with them being them paying better value than the Dodgers.

It is now time to bet the Giants – with them being them paying better value than the Dodgers.

NL West

If you bet the Dodgers all winter like I advised you to (since the Giants signed Johnny Cueto, they were favored a lot higher than the Dodgers)..  Now the pundits hae swung their money all back to Los Angeles.

As of right now, this Division is pretty much a flip of the coin – so pick the underdog in that scenario always.

LA Dodgers +120

SF Giants +140 (2)

Arizona D’backs +375 (3)

SD Padres +2800

Colorado Rockies +7500

The Bucs have done a decent job late into the offseason - with bringing in Freese and Jaso for less money than what they would have doled out to Pedro Alvarez if they kept him. Pittsburgh could see some internal imrpovements from many young players and just needs their veterans to produce what the back of their baseball cards say. At +400, they are a decent wager.

The Bucs have done a decent job late into the offseason – with bringing in Freese and Jaso for less money than what they would have doled out to Pedro Alvarez if they kept him. Pittsburgh could see some internal impovements from many young players and just needs their veterans to produce what the back of their baseball cards say. At +400, they are a decent wager.

*** The views and opinions expressed in this report are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of bbba.work and their other members***

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A big thanks goes out to our featured writer Hunter Stokes for preparing today’s post.

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About hunterstokes21

I Played NCAA Baseball at Liberty University in the 90's with Sid Bream's kid Sheldon. Once Hit a Home Run by hitting a hot air balloon that was coming over 2nd base (It was agreed that if a balloon was hit before game by the umpires and coaches - even though they were setting up in LF/CF Bleachers). I believe in the "Church Of Baseball". Come in for worship anytime.

Posted on March 18, 2016, in Gambling 101, MLB Reports and tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , . Bookmark the permalink. 1 Comment.

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