2016 MLB Player Props: Futures Betting (Year Over/Unders)

On this list of player over/unders it may be worth a well solution to wager over on all bets across the board and go for about a 60 percent win factor. I did bet a few unders on the board.

On this list of player over/unders it may be worth a well solution to wager over on all bets across the board and go for about a 60 percent win factor. I did bet a few unders on the sheet near the end.  I continue to find value on the whole gambling aspect of listed odds.  I will throw down some more money on these selections.  I am just hoping that I don’t become too over confident for my own good.

Hunter Stokes (BBBA Featured Writer) 

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We will be going hard and heavy on these kind of articles.  I will put an advisory and write-up if I think the bet is worthy.

Las year I went 9 – 4 in Player Props, and I am looking to keep that kind of win percentage.

The 1st sector will be any player bets.  There is some serious value and things I have already earmarked for bets.  I honestly can’t believe all of the value that has been out there for picking this year.

Never did I imagine I would have bet this much already, but it is a bettors market.  I hope it doesn’t backfire on me.

Chris Davis has led the Majors in homers in 2 of the last 3 years, with 53 HRs and 47 HRs sandwiched with his 2014 campaign - where he hit 26 HRs in 127 Games Played before a 25 game suspension was levied for not receiving permission for a pill close to Adderall. Davis has the league's consent now just like 2013 and 2015. I just don't have him as a great odd on this list.

Chris Davis has led the Majors in homers in 2 of the last 3 years, with 53 HRs and 47 HRs sandwiched with his 2014 campaign – where he hit 26 HRs in 127 Games Played before a 25 game suspension was levied for not receiving permission for a pill close to Adderall. Davis has the league’s consent now just like 2013 and 2015. Giancarlo Stanton should eclipse 45 HRs if he remains healthy.  If these 2 guys can’t chase down the mark, you still have the uber talented Bryce Harper or Trout (both bombing 40+ HRs at under age 25 on the board in case they take the next step.) Kris Bryant could be a darkhorse for the total.

Odds Courtesy of vegasinsider.com

2016 MLB REGULAR SEASON INDIVIDUAL PROPS

MOST HR’s By: Any Player
Over 44½ (-110)
Under 44½ (-110)
Take the Over on this for sure.  Chris Davis had 47 HRs last year, and should have a crack to break the 45+ HR barrier again. 

If he doesn’t do it, than I would peg Giancarlo Stanton for this mark (if healthy).  Of course Bryce Harper and Mike Trout could pass this total if all things fall right as well.


MOST RUNS By: Any Player
Over 121½ (-110)
Under 121½ (-110)

Josh Donaldson barely eclipsed this last year in his MVP season – and could eclipse this with a full year of Troy Tulowitzki backing up Jose Bautista and Edwin Encarnacion.  Bryce Harper scored 118 runs last year – and his supporting cast left a lot of chances to reel him in even more. 

Harper reached base 300 times in 2015.  While I think his BA might go down this season,  I think his Intentional Walks soar through the roof.

I have to think one of the 2 gentlemen go over this mark.

MOST STOLEN BASES By: Any Player
Over 63½ (-110)
Under 63½ (-110)

Again pick the over.  Billy Hamilton should steal well over 70 Bags with Cincinnati giving him a chance to bat all year with no worry about the Reds losing at all.  Dee Gordon thieved 58 bags last year – and is capable of going over 63 himself.

MOST TRIPLES By : Any Player
Over 12½ (-120)
Under 12½ (+100)

Very surprised on how low this is.  15 Triples is completely achievable for a lot of guys.   I mean Evan Gattis had 11 3 baggers last campaign

MOST LOSSES By: Any Pitcher
Over 17 (-120)
Under 17 (+100)

With 6 clubs in the National League approaching the 100 loss barrier, I fully expect someone to be headed to the Mike Maroth, Jeremy Bonderman 2003 status

MOST STRIKEOUTS By: Any Pitcher
Over 276½ (-110)
Under 276½ (-110)

The theme is over all the way.  Clayton Kershaw fanned 301 guys – and Chris Sale sent 274 batters back to ride pine even though he missed out on 3 Game Starts.

MOST RBI’s By: Any Player
Over 127½ (-110)
Under 127½ (-110)

Over.  Over.  Over.  Harper, Stanton, Donaldson, Bryant all may top 120 RBI.  Plenty of guys in contract years like Yoenis Cespedes, Bautista and Encarnacion could take a run.

MOST HITS By: Any Player
Over 208½ (-110)
Under 208½ (-110)

Okay,  We have found our 1st under.  200 hits is hard in today’s world.  Gordon and Altuve both accomplished the feat last year, but were uder the 208.5 clip.

I see a slight regression for Gordon here, and Altuve should be right around the 200 base knocks area. The best of the Average hitters like Paul Goldschmidt, Bryce Harper, Cabrera and Trout all walk so much that this may be too hard to accomplish.

My pick for a guy to do it would be Xander Bogaerts, who belted 197 hits in 654 PA’s as a 22-year-old last year.

MOST DOUBLES By: Any Player
Over 51½ (-110)
Under 51½ (-110)

The 2nd under has spoken.  45 was the benchmark by Michael Brantley for the MLB last season.  If I had to guess a guy to smack 50+ doubles in 2016 – it would be Matt Carpenter (who led the NL with 44 — 2B, but hit a surprising 28 HRs). 

Another doubles machine I like would be Miguel Cabrera in the American League.  Still picking under.  52 is a lot of 2 baggers.

MOST WINS By: Any Pitcher
Over 21 (+100)
Under 21 (-120)

Don’t bet this, ultimate trap number.  Kershaw should eclipse this every year.  Sale never stays healthy in April to do it.  Zack Greinke not with the Dodgers anymore  no AL pitcher should have an over/under of 20.5 victories.  Madison Bumgarner, alongside of Kershaw would be my bets for 20 game winners.

MOST SAVES By: Any Pitcher
Over 49½ (-110)
Under 49½ (-110)

Actually this is a perfect total.  I have Craig Kimbrel leading the Majors with 48 Saves on the campaign.  The total is too close to wager on.

MOST COMPLETE GAMES By: Any Pitcher
Over 5 (-110)
Under 5 (-110)

No clubs like extending their Starters this late.  Who honestly even has a green light to go 9 without regard to pitch count?  Bumgarner, Kershaw, Sale and David Price  I am betting under.

Individual Totals

2016 MLB REGULAR SEASON HITS

Jose Altuve (Houston: 2015 – 200 Hits)
Over 187½ (-110)
Under 187½ (-110)

Won this bet last year, and will pick it off again. Altuve has back to back 200 hit campaigns – with also notching 225 base knocks in 2015.

Robinson Cano (Seattle: 2015 – 179 Hits)
Over 175½ (-110)
Under 175½ (-110)

This is my best bet on the board.  Cano struggled in the 1st half of 2015 – but reeled in 92 hits over his last 70 Games.  This man has no less than 179 hits every year since 2008.  Bet this one.  Cano at worst will repeat his 2015 year, and he is at least always healthy.

Manny Machado* (Baltimore: 2015 – 181 Hits)
Over 167½ (-110)
Under 167½ (-110)

Bet the over.  How do they figure Machado is going to tail off 15 hits.  I think he will improve his totals.

Dee Gordon* (Miami: 2015 – 205 Hits)
Over 174½ (-110)
Under 174½ (-110)

While 32 hits seems harsh to drop…There is just something I don’t trust about Gordon completely.  Don’t wager.

Adam Jones* (Baltimore: 2015 – 147 Hits)
Over 169½ (-110)
Under 169½ (-110)

Bet the under.  Jones is on the wrong side of 30, and will likely see his Batting Average come down on a yearly basis going forward.

Josh Donaldson* (Toronto: 2015 – 184 Hits)
Over 169½ (-110)
Under 169½ (-110)

Not betting this.  Donaldson may get issued a lot more free passes in 2016.

Lorenzo Cain* (Kansas City: 2015 – 169 Hits)
Over 156½ (-110)
Under 156½ (-110)

Love Cain as a player too.  Also not wagering.

A.J. Pollock* (Arizona: 2015 – 192 Hits)
Over 169½ (-110)
Under 169½ (-110)

Paul Goldschmidt* (Arizona: 2015 – 182 Hits)
Over 169½ (-110)
Under 169½ (-110)

Love the over on this.  May be my 2nd favorite wager on the board behind Cano.  ‘Goldy has hit for 182 base knocks in 2 of the last 3 years, and would have surely gone over in 2014 had his injury not sidelined him for the last 2 months.

Anthony Rizzo * (Chicago Cubs: 2015 – 163 Hits)
Over 159½ (-110)
Under 159½ (-110)

Run. This is perfectly pegged. Rizzo is right around that 1 hit per game and a half walk ratio.

Charlie Blackmon* (Colorado: 2015 – 176 Hits)
Over 166½ (-110)
Under 166½ (-110)

If you could tell me that this guy won’t be traded away from Coors Field in 2016 – I would put some cabbage on this all day long.  Considering that can’t be guaranteed, I am staying clear.

Mookie Betts* (Boston: 2015 – 174 Hits)
Over 175½ (-110)
Under 175½ (-110)

stay clear on this one too.  Nicely posted.

Mike Trout* (L.A. Angels: 2015 – 172 Hits)
Over 172½ (-110)
Under 172½ (-110)

I think Trout will be the most Intentionally walked man in the American League.  Has been to close to this mark the last 2 seasons.

Ian Kinsler* (Detroit: 2015 – 185 Hits)
Over 161½ (-110)
Under 161½ (-110)

Not touching this either.  Kinsler has been really healthy in Detroit…I am not predicting another injury free year either.  Love his game though.

Major League Baseball Season Must Consist of at least 150 Regular Season Games For Action

*Player Must Play In At Least 1 Major League Regular Season Game For Action

All Bets Are Action Despite Player Trade, Retirement, or Suspension

No Parlays

Odds Subject To Change.

Best bet on the board today was Cano at over 174.5 Hits. This guy has clubbed 179 hits or more every year since 2008. Despite a slow start to 2015, Cano steamed ahead the last 3 months - registering 92 hits in his last 70 Games - Post ALL - Star Game last campaign.

Best bet on the board today was Cano at over 175.5 Hits. This guy has clubbed 179 hits or more every year since 2008. Despite a slow start to 2015, Cano steamed ahead the last 3 months – registering 92 hits in his last 70 Games – Post ALL – Star Game last campaign.  Love Cano to resemble more of his 2014 season in 2016.  A top 10 MVP year should be on the horizon.  This means 190+ hits.  The guy is a Games Playing machine too.

*** The views and opinions expressed in this report are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of bbba.work and their other members***

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A big thanks goes out to our featured writer Hunter Stokes for preparing today’s post.

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About hunterstokes21

I Played NCAA Baseball at Liberty University in the 90's with Sid Bream's kid Sheldon. Once Hit a Home Run by hitting a hot air balloon that was coming over 2nd base (It was agreed that if a balloon was hit before game by the umpires and coaches - even though they were setting up in LF/CF Bleachers). I believe in the "Church Of Baseball". Come in for worship anytime.

Posted on March 2, 2016, in Gambling 101, MLB Fantasy and tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , . Bookmark the permalink. 1 Comment.

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