Odds To Win The 2016 MLB Divisions

best Division odd value on the board this week.

Best Division odd value on the board this week.

Hunter Stokes (BBBA Featured Writer) 

Follow The BBBA On Twitter 

As the season approaches we are seeing more and more gambling entities finally display and update their Division odds on a daily basis.

Over the course of the year we will be doing a weekly post on both the World Series and the MLB Divisions for best value.

I have selected one good value pick and one bad value pick for each Division.  Next to a good pick, or a bad one, there will be an assigned parenthesis number for the degree I love the wager compared to the other Division picks.

The Chicago Cubs are the biggest favorite to win their own Division which is not surprising.  In the American League, the KC Royals have the lowest odd.

I like how this establishment has the Royals as their favorite lock to make the postseason, yet still have the Red Sox and Blue Jays favored over them for the World Series odds.

This goes the same for the Giants in the National League.  San Francisco is +900 to win the ‘Fall Classic’, yet the Mets and Nationals are more of a favorite to win the NL East, then they are the NL West.

The Angels could easily upgrade 2B and an LF spots, and will need to compensate for Albert Pujols to at least miss the start of the 2016 season as well. They have great depth in the Pitching Rotation, however are bogged down by the Jered Weaver and C.J. Wilson costing them a combined $40 MIL. Add in $30 MIL in buyout/dead money and the team will have a tough time competing in 2016 without nearing $200 MIL in total team payroll.

The Angels could easily upgrade 2B and an LF spots, and will need to compensate for Albert Pujols to at least miss the start of the 2016 season as well. They have great depth in the Pitching Rotation, however are bogged down by the Jered Weaver and C.J. Wilson costing them a combined $40 MIL. Add in $30 MIL in buyout/dead money and the team will have a tough time competing in 2016 without nearing $200 MIL in total team payroll.  They are not upgrading and therefore will struggle to win 80 games in my view.

ODDS courtesy of bet365.com

Bad Value – Red Block

Good Value – Blue Block

AL East

It continues to baffle me on how little respect the Jays are receiving for the AL East as compared to the Red Sox.  Lets all remember that Toronto won 93 games in 2015 – and Boston won 78.

Yes Boston signed David Price, and also added Craig Kimbrel and Carson Smith to the Bullpen, but they are not as deep offensively as Toronto is, and Dustin Pedroia is a year older.

Pablo Sandoval and Hanley Ramirez are also not bankable commodities.

Toronto is a decent bet here, but even they are priced about where they should be.

Baltimore is actually the best odd at 11/1 for the AL East.  The O’s are better offensively than they were in 2014 – and have a similar pitching staff as well.

While I have Baltimore as a 82 – 84 win club, if Toronto New York and Boston both have injury trouble with their upper echelon players (completely possible), the gap narrows in the AL East..

Boston Red Sox +175 (4)

Toronto Blue Jays +175

NY Yankees +310

TB Rays +1000

Baltimore Orioles +1100 (5)

AL Central

I am picking the Royals to win the Division here, but the Tigers provide the best value in my opinion.  Justin Verlander and Victor Martinez are the biggest wildcard players in the Division.

I hate the Indians odd because of missing Michael Brantley until May.

I was tempted to pick the Twins at +1100,  but their Pitching rotation is just not going to be enough.

KC Royals +125

Cleveland Indians +325 (2)

Detroit Tigers +330 (6)

Chicago White Sox +600

Minnesota Twins +1100

AL West

As I have written about a lot this winter, the Angels are in complete denial if they think they are better in 2016 – than in 2015 with the roster.

The 2015 season saw them win 85 games.  LF/C and 2B continue to look bleak for position production – and Albert Pujols will be hard pressed to begin the 2016 campaign healthy.

Love the Mariners at that +390 clip.  I have them right near where Texas should end up for victories (84 – 86 wins), and if things break right, they could usurp the Astros.

Houston Astros +150

Texas Rangers +250

LA Angels +390 (1)

Seattle Mariners +390 (4)

Oakland A’s +1800

NL East

New York has the best pitching rotation in the Majors right now.  The Nats had a mess of an offseason – with only really signing Daniel Murphy – while losing Denard Span, Yunel Escobar and Ian Desmond (3 starters from last year, and 2 -.300 hitters.)

Miami at +550 is a bit of a stretch as well.  If the Mets don’t take the Division, it will most likely be because the Nats blew by them.

NY Mets +100 (2)

Washington Nationals +115

Miami Marlins +550 (3)

Atlanta Braves +5000

Philadelphia +10000

NL Central

Love the Cubs to win the World Series in 2016 – but just like the World Series odds, the division odds are just not there for Chicago.

Just like I have written recently for the Cards  they won 100 games last year – and have many players that are capable e of internal improvement.

Cincinnati Reds are going to be  my pick as the worst team in the Majors this season.

Chicago Cubs -125

St. Louis Cards +210 (3)

Pittsburgh Pirates +340

Milwaukee Brewers +4000

Cincinnati Reds +5500 (6)

NL West

I actually agree with where the experts put San Fran here.  I just don’t think the Dodgers are that far behind.  I think Los Angeles may finish within 1 – 3 victories shy of the Giants by seasons end.

I have a tough time thinking Arizona will win the NL West – although I firmly believe they will be in the mid 80’s for wins for the year.

SF Giants +125

LA Dodgers +190 (1)

Arizona D’backs +230 (5)

SD Padres +2200

Colorado Rockies +10000

The Mets made it to the World Series in 2015 after a subpar start heading into the Trade Deadline. With a ton of pitching and some decent positional players still on the roster, they could set themselves up for a lengthy run in the NL East. Especially if they can coordinate a couple of trades (Pitching for hitters).

The Mets made it to the World Series in 2015 after a subpar start heading into the Trade Deadline. With a ton of pitching and some decent positional players still on the roster, a returning Yoenis Cespedes (who is in a contract year) they could set themselves up for a lengthy run in the NL East.  Their only real competition in the Division are the Nats, who had a brutal winter.

*** The views and opinions expressed in this report are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of bbba.work and their other members***

"<strong

A big thanks goes out to our featured writer Hunter Stokes for preparing today’s post.

To subscribe to our website and have the Daily BBBA articles sent directly to your inbox, click here and follow the link at the top of our homepage. Like us on Facebook.

 

About hunterstokes21

I Played NCAA Baseball at Liberty University in the 90's with Sid Bream's kid Sheldon. Once Hit a Home Run by hitting a hot air balloon that was coming over 2nd base (It was agreed that if a balloon was hit before game by the umpires and coaches - even though they were setting up in LF/CF Bleachers). I believe in the "Church Of Baseball". Come in for worship anytime.

Posted on February 29, 2016, in MLB Reports and tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , . Bookmark the permalink. 1 Comment.

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s

%d bloggers like this: