Daily Archives: February 18, 2016
The weather has been cool, wet and windy here in SW Florida since the calendar rolled over to 2016 but the last few days have been sunny and in the mid 70’s here and the population of Twins players and Twins wannabees is growing by the day. I stopped by the CenturyLink Sports Complex again yesterday and was surprised at how many players had already shown up and how many fans were out watching the players go through their paces.
The players that show up this early come and go, some show up every day and others show up now and then. Miguel Sano was out here on my first visit but I have not seen him the last two times I have been out here. Yesterday I saw Max Kepler for the first time this spring and he said that he just arrived the day before. I was shocked when I first saw Max because he was not the baby-faced player I had gotten used to seeing, he was sporting a beard and mustache or maybe I should say he was trying to grow a beard.
You can read the rest of the article where it was originally posted at Twinstrivia.com.
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So I have let my profits ride on this winter heading into futures betting in 2016 MLB. I thought I would take you into a little look on what I have thrown down so far.
In 2014, I made 3 over/under selections (Washington over 91.5 wins, Kansas City over 81.5 Wins, and the Padres under 79.5 wins). Made a nice profit of a few hundred dollars for that.
For my initial World Series picks I wagered the Rangers, Rays but I was smart enough to take a +2500 preseason SF Giants selection.
Halfway through the season I plunked down some money on the Royals when they were near .500, talking of firing Ned Yost, and running at an +8000 odd to win the World Series.
I also was able to win money on the Orioles for the AL East Division, and at +5000 to win the World Series, I was able to hedge bet both KC and BAL in the 1st round of the postseason, and also the World Series. Read the rest of this entry
The most recent updates to the historical foul ball rates (four more seasons worth of data has been added—updates to missing games and teams as well as three more full seasons) show the three foul ball increase discussed in an earlier post becoming more pronounced.
What is also interesting with the updated numbers, retrieved from retrosheet.org, is the growing difference in rates between the American League and the National League. The AL out paces the NL by .68 foul balls more per game. This is the equivalent of about 1650 more balls per season in the American League.
1999 and 2000 Account for 99% of Foul Ball Rate Increase
The updated data (the addition of about four more seasons of information) didn’t significantly change the historical 47.7 foul balls per game rate, but it does show that starting in the 1999 season and through 2000, foul rates in the AL jumped to over 48 balls per game. The frequency of foul balls in the AL leaped 1.23 balls in 1999 from the previous year which had seen a minor dip in foul ball production. The AL rate add another .95 in 2000 before appearing to level off over the next decade and a half. In a matter of just two seasons, the American League saw an overall increase of 2.18 balls per game. When 2001 is thrown into the calculations, the AL frequency jumped 2.68 balls per game in only three years. Since interleague play started, there has only been a three ball increase in both leagues, and a 2.33 balls per game increase in the AL; this constitutes a .233 increase in fouls between 1997 and 2014. These three years account for the entire jump in foul ball rates over the 10 years of data collected to this point since the start of interleague games.
READ the rest at FoulBallz.com