Hunter Stokes (Featured Writer) Follow @stokes_hunter21
Follow The BBA On Twitter Follow @baseballblogs
A couple of things have happened over the last week. The Mets signed Yoenis Cespedes and no odd was changed after this. Very strange indeed.
With adding the Cuban slugger, the Mets have almost assured their fanbase for another post season berth in 2016. This club is more like it was in the last 2 months than it was in the 1st four months.
Even if the Nationals were to have an unbelievable year – the Mets should still make the postseason as the #1 Wild Card seed.
I have the Mets as a 96 win team after this move, with the Nats listed about 93 victories. Had the Nats picked up Cespedes, I would have given Washington a 95 – 92 win advantage over New York.
The Mets should be favored over the Nats all day right now. Washington is still down Jordan Zimmermann, Doug Fister, Denard Span, Ian Desmond, 4 great months from Drew Storen, Matt Thornton, and a .315 Batter in Yunel Escobar.
Injuries played a massive factor on the 2015 version of the Nationals. Jayson Werth and Ryan Zimmerman spent too much time on the DL for sure, but the other moves Washington has done has not improved the club.
A full year of Stephen Strasburg would definitely help absorb the loss of Zimmermann.
Washington won just 84 games – and needed an MVP performance from Bryce Haprer – otherwise it would have been much worse.
There is no doubt the Nats will still clean up on playing the Phillies, Braves and they seem to thump the hell out of the Marlins. The division could be won and lost with their 19 games series versus the New York Mets.
I will give the organization full credit for putting themselves in the Free Agent derby for several players like Jason Heyward, Yoenis Cespedes, Darren O’Day and Ben Zobrist, but all lost out to other clubs.
In my opinion, the Nats really need to sign a few guys. Go and get a Dexter Fowler, and think about bringing back Desmond for a one year deal. For now I have taken them off a best bet option here.
The Mets are the best bet of the week at +1100. To think this number never shifted when adding a guy like Cespedes is mind boggling. New York was 33 – 24 after his arrival, and that type or record should be expected for a full year.
The San Francisco Giants are also too heavily favored at this time. I am not saying that the shouldn’t win the NL West right now, but to be ahead of the Mets is a little fishy.
Granted that San Fran’s offense is the best lineup in the NL 1 – 9, and this is an even year, the team should be right up there. I would just say that the rest of the division will give them a lot more trouble than what the NL East will see – or the NL Central for that matter.
Colorado is a tough place to win even when the team isn’t that good, and San Diego still has a decent rotation – with a pitching friendly park. These opponents should be harder to win against than Atlanta, Philadelphia, Milwaukee or Cincinnati.
Pittsburgh and Texas continue to receive a ton of credit for their 2015 seasons on this list, and really should be stayed away from with those odds.
The Yankees and Dodgers provide decent value for +1500 – and do have the wherewithal to add to the roster via payroll (should they get out of the starting blocks strong.)
I have left the Detroit Tigers as a favorable odd at +2200 – as they may be a healthy season away – with one or 2 KC injuries from closing the gap on the Royals. KC at +1200 is about right.
Toronto, Boston, St. Louis and Houston are perfectly pegged for their odds.
Odds To Win 2016 World Championship
Blue – Good Value
Red – Bad Value
Chicago Cubs +700
SF Giants +900
Toronto Blue Jays +1000
Boston Red Sox +1000
NY Mets +1100
Washington Nationals +1100
KC Royals +1200
St. Louis Cards +1200
Houston Astros +1300
Texas Rangers +1500
Pittsburgh Pirates +1500
Arizona Diamondbacks +1500
LA Dodgers +1500
NY Yankees +1500
LA Angels +2200
Detroit Tigers +2200
Cleveland Indians +2500
Seattle Mariners +2500
Miami Marlins +3000
Chicago White Sox +3300
Minnesota Twins +4000
TB Rays +5000
Baltimore Orioles +5000
Oakland A’s +6600
SD Padres +7500
Milwaukee Brewers +10000
Cincinnati Reds +12500
Atlanta Braves +17500
Colorado Rockies +20000
Philadelphia Phillies +35000
*** The views and opinions expressed in this report are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of bbba.work and their other members***
A big thanks goes out to our chief writer Hunter Stokes for preparing today’s featured post.